Layoff risk check: are there warning signs where you work?
Five checks against public layoff records: whether your employer has filed layoff notices or announced cuts, whether notices in your industry are rising, and how much of your kind of work AI is used on. You see every check and why it did or did not apply. It does not predict whether you will be laid off.
By Justin KullaLast updated
Answer any of these, as few or as many as you like. Nothing is saved, and none of it leaves this page unless you ask for the email.
How many people work there?
How the check works
Each sign is a yes or no with a threshold we wrote down. The level comes from how many apply, and the rules are the same for everyone.
- Employer filed a WARN notice. At least one notice in the last 12 months in the state WARN lists this site reads.
- Employer filed in 2 or more different months. Notices in 2 or more calendar months of the last 12, which suggests cuts that keep coming.
- Employer announced or was reported to have cut jobs or offered buyouts. An announcement or press report in the last 12 months, which may not be a WARN filing.
- Notices in your industry are rising. Notices in the last 6 months are at least 1.25 times the 6 months before, with at least 20 notices across the 12 months so that a few filings do not make a trend.
- Your kind of work has high observed AI exposure. At least 15% of tasks on average in your occupation group, from the Anthropic Economic Index. Five of the 22 groups reach it: business and financial operations, computer and mathematical, legal, sales, and office and administrative support.
High means your employer filed a notice and also shows another employer sign (filings in more than one month, or an announcement). Watch means one employer sign applies, or both the industry and kind-of-work signs do. Low is everything else.
Why these five, and what is left out
- A company that has cut once often cuts again. A commercial analysis of layoffs.fyi data on U.S. tech companies, 2023 to 2025, found about 27% of the 1,031 companies with a layoff had two or more rounds, and that 70% of repeat layoffs came within 12 months of the first ( Zety, repeat layoff index). That is tech only, from a commercial résumé site and not peer reviewed (reported by CPA Practice Advisor, March 25, 2026), so we use it as context for the repeat sign, not as proof.
- WARN notices are public and dated, so the employer and industry signs can be checked by anyone against the layoff tracker. Coverage is limited to employers with 100 or more employees; the federal Act’s definitions are in 29 U.S.C. § 2101 (definitions).
- AI exposure comes from Anthropic Economic Index, labor market impacts (March 2026), averaged over the occupations in each group. It measures how many tasks AI is used on, not who loses work.
- Left out: tenure and company size as scores, because we found no source to weight them; and anything you could not check yourself.
If a layoff is coming or has happened
- The WARN Act in plain language: who is covered, when 60 days’ notice is due, what is owed
- WARN notices by state and the layoff tracker
- Severance calculator and layoff deadlines
- COBRA vs ACA for health coverage, and unemployment benefits by state
Questions
Can this tell me if I will be laid off?
No. It counts signs that are on public record and shows each one. It cannot see your team, your manager or what leaders say inside the company, and its thresholds have not been tested against who was actually laid off. Use it as a prompt to prepare.
What if my employer is not listed?
Then it has no WARN notice or announcement on our record. That is not proof it is safe: WARN covers employers with 100 or more employees and layoffs of 50 or more at a site, and some states publish late or not at all. Leave the employer blank and answer the industry and kind-of-work questions.
Why is tenure not a question?
We could not find a source that ties how long someone has worked somewhere to being laid off in today’s cuts, so a tenure question would be a guess. We left it out rather than add a weight we cannot back.
Does high AI exposure mean my job will disappear?
No. Exposure here is the share of an occupation’s tasks that an AI model could speed up and that show work-related use, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It measures coverage of tasks, not job loss.
Is anything saved?
No. The check runs in your browser from a table of notice counts and one lookup for your employer. Nothing is stored unless you ask for the alert email.